پژوهش ها و چشم اندازهای اقتصادی

پژوهش ها و چشم اندازهای اقتصادی

برآورد شاخص آسیب‌پذیری برده‌داری نوین در کشور ایران به تفکیک مناطق شهری و روستایی به روش فازی

نویسندگان
1 دانشجوی دکتری اقتصاد گروه توسعه اقتصادی، دانشکده مدیریت و اقتصاد، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس
2 دانشیار علوم اقتصادی گروه توسعه اقتصادی، دانشکده مدیریت و اقتصاد، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس
چکیده
یافته‌های حاصل از مطالعات و پژوهش‌های سازمان جهانی کار و سازمان جهانی مهاجرت[1] (2022)، نشان می‌دهد که در سراسر دنیا، بیش از 40 میلیون نفر، قربانی[2] انواعی از برده‌داری نوین[3] هستند. از طرف دیگر مطالعات (نهاد) شاخص جهانی برده‌داری[4] (2021)، بیانگر آن است که در کشور ایران، بیش از 495 هزار نفر «برده نوین» وجود دارد. پیدایش چنین آسیبی، محرکی برای بررسی این آسیب و عوامل موجد آن است که با محاسبه شاخص‌های آسیب‌پذیری آن برای ایران با روش فازی، می‌توان هدف فوق را محقق نمود. شاخص آسیب پذیری برده‌داری نوین به روش فازی در این مطالعه، در یک فرایند سه مرحله‌ای با استفاده از چهار مؤلفه 1. حمایت‌های سیاسی و مدنی؛ 2. حقوق اقتصادی، اجتماعی و سلامت؛ 3. امنیت شخصی و 4. جنگ و پناهندگی[5] به دست خواهد آمد. در بخش اول مطالعه حاضر، ضمن بررسی مفهوم برده‌داری نوین و تشریح انواع آن، به تحلیل ادبیات موجود در این باب پرداخته‌ایم؛ پس از آن، شاخص آسیب‌پذیری برده‌داری نوین به تفکیک شهر و روستا و در نهایت، برای کل کشور محاسبه خواهد شد که با داشتن این شاخص، می توان شرایط برده‌داری را در سال‌های بین 1375 الی 1397 مورد بررسی قرار داد. یافته‌های این پژوهش، نشان می‌دهد که شاخص فوق برای بازه زمانی مذکور، دارای روند نزولی بوده است.


[1]. Global Estimates of Modern Slavery: Forced Labour and Forced Marriage

[2]. Victim

[3]. Modern Slavery

[4]. Global Slavery Index

[5]. Refugees and Conflict




کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات


عنوان مقاله English

Estimation of Vulnerability Index of Modern Slavery in Urban and Rural Areas of Iran by Fuzzy Method

نویسندگان English

faramarz khalighi 1
Hossein Sadeghi seghdel 2
Bahram Sahabi 2
Sajjad Faraji Dizaji 2
1 Ph.D. Student of Economics, Department of Economic Development, Faculty of Management and Economics, Tarbiat Modares University
2 Associate Professor of Economics, Department of Economic Development, Faculty of Management and Economics, Tarbiat Modares University
چکیده English

The findings of the studies by the International Labor Organization and the International Organization for Migration (2022) show that all over the world, more than forty million people are victims of modern slavery. On the other hand, studies of the Global Slavery Index (2016) show that there are more than 495,000 "modern slaves" in Iran. The emergence of such a damage is a stimulus to investigate and study this phenomenon and its determinants by calculating the vulnerability indicators for Iran.

Considering that there is no effective quantitative index in the field of improving the condition of slaves in Iran, the general goal of this research is to estimate a fuzzy index that includes the dimensions of vulnerability of slaves between 1996 and 2018.

We investigate the slavery situation in four dimensions: 1) Political and civil support; 2) Economic, social and health rights; 3) personal security and 4) Refugees and Conflict. The findings of this research show that the above-mentioned index has a downward trend during period under study.

Introduction

Slavery is any type of system in which the principles of property rights apply to humans and allow people (slaves) to be bought, sold, or owned by others like property. Over the years, this concept has been objectified in various situations such as labor, military, pre-service, etc. The life of a slave, with all its difficulties and hardships, is not the end of his personal life, in the sense of losing all the opportunities of a normal life; because it is possible for a slave to free himself. A slave soldier can be promoted to a senior military rank, or even a slave can become an important person in society. However, in the 15th century, the "Atlantic slave trade" destroyed this possibility. In such a way that over 400 years, 12 million Africans were transported as slaves to European and American colonies and did not have the possibility to return to a normal life. Even if they were freed from slavery, they were still deprived of some rights. Until the end of the 18th century and the beginning of the 19th century, efforts were made to dismantle the system of slavery and the slave trade, and this issue was banned in most countries.

Considering that there is no effective quantitative index in the field of improving the condition of slaves, the general goal of this research is to estimate a multidimensional index that includes the dimensions of vulnerability and the number of slaves. In other words, the main goal of this research is to calculate an index in the field of the status of slaves, separated by gender and province. The existence of this index helps policy makers to organize their actions in the field of slaves' vulnerability.

Methodology

In this section, using an analytical-descriptive method, variables in four groups 1. Political and civil support; 2. Economic, social and health rights; 3. personal security and 4. war and asylum are categorized and, the vulnerability index of slaves will be estimated using the theory of fuzzy sets over the years. To calculate the fuzzy index of each of the aforementioned dimensions of the vulnerability index of slaves, it is necessary to consider variables for each of these dimensions.

The indexing method for the vulnerability of slaves is three-step, so that first, a fuzzy index will be created for each of the above-mentioned dimensions using the fuzzy method. In the second stage, by combining two political and civil indicators, its fuzzy index is made, and for the economic and social dimensions, the corresponding fuzzy index is obtained.

Results and Discussion

Using the aforementioned data, the system was simulated with a fuzzy approach, and the vulnerability index of slaves was obtained by separating urban and rural areas and by gender, as described in the following diagram:



According to the above graph, it is clear that the trend of slavery in the country is decreasing and it has experienced a total decrease of 50%. Having said that, the conditions of the villagers are more difficult than the urban dwellers, and girls have experienced more vulnerability. However, in urban areas, the trend of slaves for boys and girls has been the same.

Conclusion

Paying attention to the vulnerability of modern slavery requires the creation of appropriate platforms and contexts in economic, social and cultural dimensions in the regions of the country, and increasing the role and function of people in different economic-social types also creates platforms for development. Therefore, it is necessary to review the definitions related to development programs from the perspective of anti-slavery and to formulate and apply different levels of programs according to the characteristics and conditions of boys and girls in urban and rural areas. Therefore, according to the results of this research, it is suggested that the key policy priorities to reduce or eliminate forced labor and forced marriage should be changed and formulated in such a way that the rights and freedom of workers to determine wages and choose workplaces are recognized, and policies should be fair and anti-discriminatory in hiring workers

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Modern Slavery
Vulnerability
Forced Labor
Forced Marriage
Fuzzy method
شوندی، حسن (1385)، نظریه مجموعه‌های فازی و کاربرد آن، تهران، گسترش علوم پایه
صادقی، حسین؛ مسائلی، ارشک (1387)، رابطه رشد اقتصادی و توزیع درآمد بر روند فقر در ایران با رویکرد فازی، فصلنامه رفاه اجتماعی، شماره 28، ص 170- 151
غلامرضایی، داود (1383)، طراحی مدل یاضی DEA فازی برای رتبه‌بندی استان‌های کشور (با به‌کارگیری شاخص‌های توسعه انسانی)، پایان‌نامه کارشناسی ارشد، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس
فرهادیان، مریم؛ محجوب، حسین؛ صدری، علامحسین؛ علی‌آبادی، محسن (1389)، رتبه‌بندی وضعیت سلامت کودکان در استان‌های مختلف ایران و ارتباط آن با شاخص‌های اقتصادی – اجتماعی، مجله حکیم، دوره 13، شماره2.
قربانی، فرناز (1390)، برآورد شاخص بیماری هلندی در کشور ایران با رویکرد فازی، پایان‌نامه کارشناسی ارشد، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس
کوره‌پزان دزفولی، امین (1384)، اصول تئوری مجموعه‌های فازی، تهران، جهاد دانشگاهی امیرکبیر
مسائلی، ارشک (1388) برآورد شاخص رفاه در کشور ایران با رویکرد فازی، پایان‌نامه کارشناسی ارشد، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس
ملکی،سعید، 1382، شهر پایداروتوسعه پایدارشهری،فصلنامه مسکن وانقلاب،شماره 102، ص ص 3- 54

Banerjee, Abhijit, Esther Duo, Gilles Postel-Vinay, and Timothy M. Watts, (2007): "Long run health impacts of income shocks: wine and phylloxera in 19th century France", NBER Working Paper, No. 12895.
Barker, D. J., (1998a): "In utero programming of chronic disease", Clinical Science, 95(2), 115-128.
Carslake, David, Abigail Fraser, George D. Smith, Margaret May, Tom Palmer, Jonathan Sterne, Karri Silventoinen, Per Tynelius, Debbie A. Lawlor, and Finn Rasmussen, (2013): "Associations of mortality with own height using son's height as an instrumental variable", Economics and Human Biology, 11(3), 351-359.
Crimmins, Eileen, and Caleb E. Finch, (2006): "Infection, inammation, height, and longevity", Proceedings of the National Academy of Science, 103(2), 498-503.
Duflo, Esther, (2000): "Child health and household resources in South Africa: evidence from old age pension program", The American Economic Review, 90(2), 393-398.
Fogel, Robert W., (1987): "Biomedical approaches to the estimation and interpretation of secular trends in equity, morbidity, mortality, and labor productivity in Europe, 1750-1980",Unpublished manuscript, University of Chicago.
Fogel, Robert W., (1994): "Economic growth, population theory, and physiology: the bearing of long-term processes on the making of economic policy", The American Economic Review, 84(3), 369-395.
Fogel, Robert W., Dora L. Costa, and John M. Kim, (1993): "Secular trends in the distribution of chronic conditions and disabilities at young adult and late ages, 1860-1988: some preliminary findings", Unpublished manuscript presented at the NBER Summer Institute, Economics of Aging Program.
Gilles FH, Leviton A, Golden JA., (1998):"Groups of histopathologic abnormalities in brains of very low birth-weight infants", J NeuropatholExpNeurol, 57(11), 1026-34.
Gluckman, Peter, and Mark Hanson, (2005): "The Fetal Matrix: Evolution, Development and Disease", Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
Global Estimates of Modern Slavery: Forced Labour and Forced Marriage International Labour Organization (ILO), Walk Free, and International Organization for Migration (IOM), Geneva, 2022 ISBN: 978-92-2-037483-2 (web PDF)
Hoddinott, John, and Bill Kinsey, (2001): "Child growth in the time of drought", Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 63(4), 405-511.
Keller SD, Ware JE Jr, Bentler PM., (1998):"Use of structural equation modeling to test the construct validity of the SF-36 Health Survey in ten countries: results from the IQOLA Project", International Quality of Life Assessment, J ClinEpidemiol, 51(11), 1179-1188.
Mishra G, Schofield MJ., (1998):"Norms for the physical and mental health component summary scores of the SF-36 for young, middle-aged and older Australian women",Qual Life Res, 7(3), 215-220.
Movahedi M, Hajarizadeh B, Rahimi AD, et al., (2008):"Trend and geographical inequality pattern of main health indicators in rural population of Iran", Hakim Research Journal , 10(4), 1-10.
Patrick DL, Martin ML, Bushnell DM., (1999):"Quality of life of women with urinary incontinence: further development of the incontinence quality of life instrument (I-QOL) ", Urology, 53(1), 71-76.
Rucker KS, Metzler HM, Kregel J., (1996):"Standardization of chronic pain assessment: a multiperspective approach",Clin J Pain, 12(2), 94-110.
Steckel, Richard H., (1995): "New light on dark ages: the remarkably tall stature on Northern European men during the medieval era", Social Science History, 28(2), 211-219.
Taghvaee M, RahmatiGh.,(2006):"Analysis of indicators of cultural development in provinces", Journal of Geography and Regional development, 117-132.
UNDP. (2004), Human Development Report 1990, New York, Oxford University press, 1990, 1992, 1999, 2000, 2003, 2004 (Issued). Accessed in: hdr.undp.org/en/
Ware JE Jr, Gandek B, Kosinski M., (1998):"The equivalence of SF-36 summary health scores estimated using standard and country-specific algorithms in 10 countries: results from the IQOLA project", International Quality of Life Assessment. J clinEpidemiol, 51(11), 1167-1170.
Wong TW, Wong SL, Yu TS., (1998):"Socioeconomic correlates of infant mortality in Hong Kong 1979-93.",Scand J Soc Med, 26(4), 281-288.