پژوهش ها و چشم اندازهای اقتصادی

پژوهش ها و چشم اندازهای اقتصادی

بررسی تأثیر توسعه مالی و ثبات مالی بر رشد اقتصادی ایران با استفاده از رهیافت گشتاورهای تعمیم یافته

نوع مقاله : پژوهشی اصیل

نویسندگان
1 دانشجوی دکتری اقتصاد گروه اقتصاد واحد اراک، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، اراک، ایران
2 استادیارگروه اقتصاد واحد اراک، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، اراک، ایران
3 استادیارگروه مدیریت واحد ملایر، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، ملایر، ایران
4 استادیار گروه اقتصاد واحد اراک، دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، اراک، ایران
چکیده
توسعه و ثبات مالی و ارتباط آنها با رشد اقتصادی، از موضوعات مهم و تأثیرگذار بر رشد اقتصادی است. بنابراین، کارشناسان اقتصاد در تحقیقات بسیاری با اعمال شرایط گوناگون، به بررسی این موضوع پرداخته اند. هدف اصلی این تحقیق، ارزیابی تأثیر توسعه مالی و ثبات مالی بر رشد اقتصادی ایران در دوره زمانی1370 تا 1397 با استفاده از رهیافت گشتاورهای تعمیم یافته می باشد. نتایج، بیانگر تأثیر مثبت و معنادار متغیرهای توسعه مالی و ثبات مالی بر رشد اقتصادی است؛ همچنین متغیرهای وقفه رشد اقتصادی، آموزش، سرمایه گذاری ثابت و آزادسازی تجاری، اثر مثبت و معنادار، ولی تورم و مخارج دولت و جمعیت فعال، تأثیر منفی بر رشد اقتصادی دارند. بنابراین توصیه می گردد، با عنایت به نقش با اهمیت آموزش، با سرمایه گذاری در این بخش و ارتقاء زیربنای تولید، انجام اصلاحات ساختاری لازم در بازار سرمایه و بانک، هدایت اعتبارات و نقدینگی به سمت تقویت تولید بخش خصوصی و همچنین اصلاح سطح و ترکیب مخارج دولت، به نحوی، به افزایش بهره وری تولید کمک گردد.

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات


عنوان مقاله English

Investigating the Impact of Financial Development and Financial Stability on Iran's Economic Growth Using the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM)

نویسندگان English

Azadeh Arab 1
Ahmad Sarlak 2
Mojtaba Ghiasi 3
Maryam Sharifnezhad 4
1 Ph.D. Candidate in Economics, Department of Economics, Arak Branch, Islamic Azad University, Arak, Iran
2 Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Arak Branch, Islamic Azad University, Arak, Iran
3 Assistant Professor, Department of management, Malayer Branch, Islamic Azad University, Malayer, Iran
4 Assistant Professor, Department of Economics, Arak Branch, Islamic Azad University, Arak, Iran
چکیده English

Financial development and stability and their relationship with economic growth is one of the most important and influential issues in economic growth. Therefore, economists have studied this issue by exerting different conditions. The main purpose of this study is to evaluate the impact of financial development and financial stability on Iran's economic growth using the generalized method of moments (GMM) during 1992-2019. The results show positive and meaningful effects of financial development and financial stability on economic growth. The variables of lagged economic growth, education, fixed investment and trade liberalization have positive and significant effects on economic growth, while, inflation, government expenditure and active population have negative impacts on economic growth. Therefore, considering the important role of education, it is recommended to government to invest in this sector and upgrade the production structure, make the necessary structural reforms in the capital market and banking system, direct credit and liquidity to strengthen private sector production, as well as improve the level and composition of government spending in order to increase production efficiency.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Financial Development
Financial Instability
economic growth
Generalized Method of Moments
Time Series
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