پژوهش ها و چشم اندازهای اقتصادی

پژوهش ها و چشم اندازهای اقتصادی

ارزیابی عملکرد تثبیتی سیاست ترکیبی پولی و کلان احتیاطی در اقتصاد ایران

نویسندگان
1 دانشیار علوم اقتصادی، گروه اقتصاد، دانشکده اقتصاد مدیریت و علوم اداری، دانشگاه سمنان، سمنان، ایران
2 استادیار اقتصاد، دانشکده اقتصاد، دانشگاه علامه طباطبائی، تهران، ایران
3 دانشجوی دکتری اقتصاد، اقتصاد پولی دانشگاه سمنان، سمنان، ایران
چکیده
امروزه دستیابی به ثبات مالی در کنار اهداف متداول ثبات تورم و تولید، از اهمیت ویژه ای در میان سیاست گذاران پولی و مقامات نظارتی برخوردار است. در این مطالعه، از یک مدل تعادل عمومی پویای تصادفی برای دوره زمانی 1369:1 تا 1393:4 در اقتصاد ایران استفاده شد که در آن، معیاری از تکانه مالی هم وارد شده است. در این مدل، تکانه مالی به صورت کاهش پاداش یا حق العمل تأمین مالی بیرونی بنگاه مدل سازی می شود. نتایج حاصل از مقایسه عملکرد قواعد سیاستی، نشان داد که به دنبال وقوع تکانه مالی انبساطی، نظام سیاست کلان احتیاطی که در آن از هر دو ابزار سیاست پولی و ابزار کلان احتیاطی برای مقابله با رشد بیش از حد اعتبارات استفاده می شود، موجب کاهش قابل توجه در پاداش تأمین مالی بیرونی بنگاه شده و از این رو، به تلاطم کمتری در متغیر های اقتصاد از جمله تورم و تولید، منجر می شود. این امر موجب بهبود وضعیت رفاهی در اقتصاد ایران خواهد شد.
کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات


عنوان مقاله English

Evaluation of the Stabilization Performance of the Mixed Monetary and Macro-Prudential Policy in the Economy of Iran

نویسندگان English

alireza erfani 1
Hossein Tavakolian 2
azadeh talebbeydokhti 3
1 Associate Professor of Economics, Department of Economics, Semnan University, Semnan, Iran
2 Assistant professor of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Allameh Tabataba'i University, Tehran, Iran
3 PhD student in Monetary Economics, Semnan University, Semnan, Iran
چکیده English

Today, achieving financial stability alongside stabilizing inflation and output is of particular importance among monetary policymakers and regulatory authorities. In this study, a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model was used for the period 1990: 1 to 2014: 4 in the economy of Iran, in which a measure of financial shock was also introduced. In this model, the financial shock is modeled as a reduction in external financing premium of the firm. Comparison of the performance of policy rules showed that following an expansionary financial shock, macro-prudential policy regime, in which instruments of monetary policy and macro-prudential policy deal with excessive growth of credit, leads to a significant reduction in the external financing premium of the firm. This in turn leads to less volatility in economic variables, such as inflation and output. This would improve the welfare in the Economy of Iran.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Monetary policy
Macro-Prudential Policy
Financing Premium
Iran
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