پژوهش ها و چشم اندازهای اقتصادی

پژوهش ها و چشم اندازهای اقتصادی

اثر ساختار نظام مالی بر رشد اقتصادی

نویسنده
پژوهشگر پژوهشکده پولی و بانکی و دانشجوی دکترای اقتصاد دانشگاه تهران
چکیده
رابطه بین بخش مالی و بخش حقیقی اقتصاد همواره یکی از موضوعات مورد توجه در مطالعات بوده است. در این مقاله به بررسی اثر ساختار نظام مالی بر رشد اقتصادی پرداخته می شود. بدین منظور از روش پانل پویای GMM برای بررسی این رابطه، از داده های 39 کشور توسعه یافته و درحال توسعه برای دوره زمانی 2009-2000 استفاده شده است. بر اساس نتایج حاصل از برآورد برای کل کشورها ساختار مالی بطور کلی بر رشد اقتصادی اثر معنی داری ندارد. اما با برآورد جداگانه برای کشورهای توسعه یافته و در حال توسعه، نتایج حاصله نشان می دهد که ساختار مالی بر رشد کشورهای توسعه یافته اثر معنی داری ندارد و فقط بر رشد اقتصادی کشورهای درحال توسعه و نوظهور اثر معنی داری می گذارد. به عبارت دیگر عملکرد بخش حقیقی در کشورهای در حال توسعه و نوظهور در نظام مالی بازار محور بهتر از نظام مالی بانک محور است. بعلاوه توسعه مالی بر رشد اقتصادی تمامی کشورها اثر مثبت و معنی داری دارد که این اثر در کشورهای درحال توسعه و نوظهور بیشتر از کشورهای توسعه یافته است.
کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله English

Effect of Financial System Structure on Economic Growth

نویسنده English

Sajad Ebrahimi
Researcher of Monetary and Banking Institute and Ph.D. Student of Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Tehran, (E-mail: Ebrahimi_s@ut.ac.ir)
چکیده English

The relationship between financial and real sectors of economy has been considered in various economic studies. This paper investigates the effect of financial system structure on economic growth using Dynamic Panel method (GMM) for 39 countries during 2000-2009. The estimation results show that financial structure has no significant effect on economic growth in both the entire set and developed countries, while this effect is significant in developing and emerging countries. In other words, real sector performance in market-based financial system is better than bank-based financial system in developing and emerging countries. In addition, financial development has significant and positive effect on economic growth in entire set of countries, and this effect is higher in developing and emerging countries than developed countries.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Financial Structure
Financial Development
economic growth
Bank-based financial system
Market-based financial system
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