Volume 12, Issue 1 (2012)
QJER 2012, 12(1): 113-140 |
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Soori A R, Heydari H, Afzali H. Demand and Supply Side Variables and Housing Sector in Iran. QJER 2012; 12 (1) :113-140
URL: http://ecor.modares.ac.ir/article-18-466-en.html
URL: http://ecor.modares.ac.ir/article-18-466-en.html
1- Ph.D. Student of Economics, The Institute for Trade Studies and Researsh (ITSR)
2- Ph.D. in Economics, Researcher at Ministry of Industry Mining and Trade
3- Researcher at the Institute for Trade Studies and Research (ITSR)
2- Ph.D. in Economics, Researcher at Ministry of Industry Mining and Trade
3- Researcher at the Institute for Trade Studies and Research (ITSR)
Abstract: (7494 Views)
The purpose of this paper is to examine the relationship between bank loan rate and housing prices in Iran. For this purpose, some VAR models have been applied, using the following variables: real loan rate, money supply (including the high powered money and the liquidity), GDP, housing services index, and the number of licenses for new houses. The results show that a reduction in the loan interest rate will increase the demand for housing sector because of reduction in cost of borrowing from banking system in order to invest in this sector. In other word, the research findings have implied a negative relationship between bank loan interest rates and housing prices. The results have also revealed that financial repression in the form of bank loan rates control policy induces more investment in housing sector and results into resource depletion of banking system.
Keywords: G12, G12, Housing, R21, R21, Vector Autoregressive Model (VAR), E43, House prices, Bank loan rates, Financial repression, Iran.
JEL Classification: E43, R31
Received: 2009/10/3 | Revised: 2012/05/6 | Accepted: 2011/10/16 | Published: 2012/05/6
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