Volume 20, Issue 2 (2020)
QJER 2020, 20(2): 145-176 |
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rezagholizadeh M, heidarzadeh S. Smuggling and Employment in Iran. QJER 2020; 20 (2) :145-176
URL: http://ecor.modares.ac.ir/article-18-29179-en.html
URL: http://ecor.modares.ac.ir/article-18-29179-en.html
1- Assistant Professor of Economics, Faculty of Economics, University of Mazandaran, Babolsar, Iran , m.gholizadeh@umz.ac.ir
2- M.A. in Economics, Faculty of Economic, University of Mazandaran
2- M.A. in Economics, Faculty of Economic, University of Mazandaran
Abstract: (3878 Views)
The expansion of underground activities and smuggling of goods threats the employment in Iran. This study estimates the volume of smuggling in Iran by using multiple-cause-multiple causes (MIMIC) model and applying maximum likelihood method over the period 1979-2017. Then the effect of smuggling on employment is investigated by using ARDL Bounding test method. The results of smuggling time series show that despite some fluctuations, the smuggling has been generally increasing. The findings of regression model indicate that expansion of smuggling has a negative impact on employment in the short- and long-run.
Keywords: Smuggling, Employment, Iran, Multiple Indicators - Multiple Causes (MIMIC), ARDL Bounding test
Article Type: Original Research |
Subject:
Economics and Econometrics
Received: 2019/01/8 | Revised: 2020/06/20 | Accepted: 2019/05/22 | Published: 2020/06/21
Received: 2019/01/8 | Revised: 2020/06/20 | Accepted: 2019/05/22 | Published: 2020/06/21
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