Showing 4 results for Permeh
Volume 14, Issue 6 (11-2012)
Abstract
Iran's economy dependence on oil revenues has caused some impacts in the form of commodity price fluctuations on current revenues. Accordingly, in the past few years especially in the Second Development Plan, the government included encouragements and reduced the country's dependence on oil revenues in its agenda. Agricultural export, especially livestock and poultry export has a proper status due to its relative advantage. Therefore, this study aims to identify the factors affecting the supply of export animal products. For this purpose, factors affecting the export of livestock products were identified using Co-integration Analysis. Empirical results showed that livestock products export is significantly affected by livestock added-value, changes in price index of export goods, subjective price index of livestock products and climate changes.
Mohammad Reza Kohansal, Zorar Permeh,
Volume 17, Issue 1 (Spring 2017 2017)
Abstract
This paper investigates the effect of reduction in agricultural subsidies in Iran. To this end, the social accounting matrix (SAM) as an analytical model is developed with dimensions of 78 × 78 for the year 2006. Since the amount of subsidies paid to the agriculture sector, based on Total Aggregate Measurement of Support (TAMS), is higher than amount set by the World Trade Organization, hence, in the case of applying for membership of Iran in this organization, Iran should reduce subsidies during a 10-year period, annually by reduction as much as 13600 billion Rials. This paper studies the reduction in agricultural subsidies by 13600 billion Rials. The findings indicate the reduction in gross domestic product (GDP) by more than 57000 billion Rials. One main effect of reduction in agricultural subsidies relates to reduction in output and employment, in such a way this shock results in reducing number of agricultural employees by 86000 people.
Volume 19, Issue 6 (11-2017)
Abstract
This study aimed to develop a multi-sector Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (Large DSGE) model for Iran’s economy. In this model, economy was divided into three sectors: Agriculture, non-agriculture, and oil. Imports and exports were also included in the model. In order to adapt the model with Iran’s economic conditions, price stickiness in agriculture and non-agriculture were included. Then, the impact of rising oil prices on agricultural sector was examined. To calculate the required coefficients, 1971-2012 data was gathered and Bayesian method was used. The results showed the negative impacts of rising oil prices on agriculture as well as the negative effects of Dutch Disease.
Volume 26, Issue 4 (7-2024)
Abstract
Since the 1960s and the reduction in the share of agricultural sector in GDP in different countries, based on extensive forward and backward linkages of the agricultural sector, the concept of agribusiness has been introduced to explain the valuable contribution of agriculture to the national economy. This paper estimates the share of agribusiness in gross domestic product using input-output tables for 1986, 1991, 2001, and 2016. The results showed that the contribution of agribusinesses to GDP was about 2.5 times that of agricultural production (the average share of agribusinesses in 1986-2016 was about 23%, while the corresponding figure for agricultural value added was 9.25%). In a similar trend to developing and developed countries, the share of agribusinesses in GDP had decreased from 27.2 to 17% in 1986-2016. However, the examination of the components of agribusinesses in Iran compared to other countries shows significant differences, which can be attributed to Iran's arid and semi-arid climate, low rate of capital formation, low productivity of production factors, as well as lack of participation in regional and global chains due to long-term sanctions imposed on the economy.