Showing 4 results for Mohseni Zonouzi
Seyed Jamaledin Mohseni Zonouzi,
Volume 17, Issue 4 (Winter 2018)
Abstract
This paper aims to analyze the importance of balance sheet channel of credit approach in monetary transmission mechanism in Iran during 1989:2-2014:1. This analysis is based on a structural vector auto-regression (SVAR) model with ten variables including asset prices and the other seven-variable model excluding asset prices. These models are comparable with each other while assessing the importance of balance sheet channel. The comparison of SVAR model containing asset prices such as housing price, gold coin price, stock price and exchange rate with SVAR model excluding asset prices implies that adding asset prices to the model increases the effects of monetary policy shocks, through liquidity shocks, on output fluctuations. The findings confirms the importance of the balance sheet channel in monetary transmission mechanism. Therefore, monetary authorities should take precautions in implementing tight monetary policy due to its probable recession effect.
Dr Seyed Jamaledin Mohseni Zonouzi, Mrs. Solmaz Sadegpour, Mrs. Morteza Dehgandorost,
Volume 19, Issue 4 (winter 2019 2019)
Abstract
This study is an attempt to identify the persistent obstacles in improving labor productivity path and to give insight to policymakers into the food and beverage industry and related industries about the geographic concentration of industry, educational distribution of employees, and their relationships with labor productivity. For this purpose, a panel data model is applied for explaining labor productivity in the food and beverage industry over the period 2000- 2014. In addition, motivational indices (wage per worker), per capita capital stock and physical capital management index (the number of private and public firms) are used as explanatory variables. The results suggest that improvement in labor productivity in food and beverage industry sub-sectors requires reducing educational dispersion of the labor force by employing high-educated workers, increasing geographical concentration, improving incentive system by determining appropriate wage, and enhancing management through reducing state ownership of industrial firms.
Mr. Ahad Seifi Koshki, Dr Seyed Jamaledin Mohseni Zonouzi, Dr Ali Rezazadeh,
Volume 20, Issue 3 (Autumn 2020 2020)
Abstract
Macroeconomic policy makers and planners always use different tools to achieve economic goals. Credit control is one of these tools. The boom and recession of the financial sector of the economy are called the credit cycle, and of the real sector is called the business cycle. Credit as a complementary input for capital, intermediate goods, and primitive materials can be effective in improving business cycles. This study, by employing Structural Vector Auto Regressive (SVAR) model and using the annual data of Iran during 1973 to 2016, investigates the relationship between credit cycles and business cycles in Iranian economy. The results show that credit cycle has positive effect on business cycle, but business cycle has negative effect on credit cycle. Credit cycle fluctuations have the largest share in explaining the business cycle fluctuations, but business cycle ranks the fourth in explaining the credit cycle fluctuations following own variable, inflation rate and consumption shocks. The investigation of the co-movement between the credit cycle and the business cycle also show that the effect of the credit cycle on the business cycle is revealed from the second period and there is 24 years of co-movement between these cycles. Also, the persistence of the co-movement between these cycles in expansion - improvement phases has causes severe financial crises in the Iranian economy in the long run.
Mrs. Susan Etemadinia, Dr Seyed Jamaledin Mohseni Zonouzi,
Volume 22, Issue 4 (winter 1401 2022)
Abstract
Introduction:
Technological innovation is one of the key indicators for economic growth and productivity. Recent studies show that R&D investment causes technological change. However, this relationship is not always obvious and seems to vary according to the level of economic development. A large number of studies on developed countries confirm the positive relationship between research and development, innovation and productivity. However, in developing countries, this relationship is not always clear. In this regard, in order to allocate an important share of national income to research and development, developing economies need to achieve a high and sustainable economic growth rate or create an economic development policy based on new innovation. This paper investigates the threshold effect of medium-high technology exports on total factor productivity in 50 developing and developed countries over the period 2007-2020.
Methodology:
For analyzing data, panel smooth transition regression (PSTR) model is used, which was presented and expanded by Gonzalez et al. (2005) and Colletaz & Hurlin (2006) and is very suitable for heterogeneous panel data. Thus, Medium-High Technology Exports index is chosen as the transition variable. Following the study of Hammar and Bellarebi (2021), the general model shows the relationship between the logarithm of total factor productivity, the logarithm of advanced and medium exports (transition variable), the logarithm of trade openness, and the logarithm of research and development expenditures.
Results and Discussion:
The results show a nonlinear relationship between the variables under study. Based on the necessary test results, considering only one transition function with a threshold value and two regimes is sufficient for nonlinear estimation of the model. Also, the logarithm of the value of the transition variable threshold is estimated about 3.0816 and the slope parameter is estimated about 6.4226. Research and development (R&D) expenditures and trade have negative significant effects on total factor productivity in the first regime on total factor productivity that this effect by crossing the threshold (Medium-High Technology Exports) effect for the variable of R&D expenditures becomes positive and insignificant. This result is consistent with the study of Sepherdoost and Afshari (2016). In addition, the results show that the influence of trade on total factor productivity is negative and significant, but its influence is lower than before, in the second regime. This result is consistent with the study of Lotfalipour et al. (2015)
Conclusion:
Considering the role of high and medium technology exports in the relationship between research and development expenditures and total factor productivity, it can be said that developing countries in the initial stages of growth can increase their productivity by increasing the export of high technology industries, to a level of specific development, despite the very high importance of research and development in the development of high-tech industries. Only a very small part of the country's resources is spent on research and development, and the weakness of the workforce has reduced the utilization of this small amount of domestic research and development investment. So, the low contribution of research and development expenses indicates that companies do not have much desire for innovative efforts and the creation of new technology transfer capacity as a stimulus for the quantitative and qualitative growth of industrial products. This action has caused them to not provide new products and services and reduce their competitiveness in domestic and foreign markets.
The most important policy recommendation is that the governments of developing countries should develop high and medium technology exports witch through their positive effects such as productivity growth, reduction of production costs, improvement of financial development and growth of innovation and technology, it is possible to achieve favorable economic growth and to improve the productivity of all factors. Also, the development of exports with advanced and medium technology and knowledge-based production will initially attract educated and specialized unemployed people, and with the improvement of management practices, the productivity of production factors and the level of technology will increase and lead to product innovation. Therefore, considering the importance of exporting with advanced and medium technology and knowledge-based production, it is suggested that the universities move towards the third generation university, in which case the chain of knowledge to technology will be completed in the university and the university will support the industries by developing the latest technologies. It is also suggested that in order to improve their competitiveness in the international arena and to advance their development goals, developing countries allocate a greater share of their income resources to research and development and create incentives for researchers in various economic sectors, especially in industries with technological capabilities, and move more towards the knowledge-based economy and the implementation of research policies based on innovation.